Saturday, May 11, 2013

The statistics of the modern slavery


Last year the International Labor Organization (ILO) has published its second assessment report on the scope of the forced labor in the world for the purpose of economic and sexual exploitation. I find the data very informative and impressive and now I will present it and discuss it here.

For better interpretation of the numbers I would like first to come with some explanations. In the absence of reliable national statistics (only 4 countries in the world have national statistics!) the methodology of the ILO is based on “reported cases”, which inevitably makes the numbers conservative. The main criterion for forced labor is the impossibility of the victims to decline it. The questionnaire used is specifically targeted to minimize the probability for untrue signals. Although the ILO has the national data, only regional data has been published. The only reasonable explanation is political pressure on the side of influential governments. With regional data each government can say the problems do not concern its country. And more important – it is not under pressure to undertake something against forced labor.

According to the assessment nowadays there are about 20.9 millions victims of forced labor i.e. true slaves in the world. 10% of them are exploited in the public sector and 90% - in the private one. 22% of the victims (4.5 millions) are subject to sexual exploitation, which is the number of the forced prostitutes i.e. of the sex slaves in the world.

The number of the world victims of forced labor is really big but the worst is that it is the result of an increase of 70% of the same figure from the first assessment in 2005 – for seven years only!  Back at that time the number of the victims was 12.3 millions.

Worst is the situation in the region compounding the Southeast European countries Albania, Bosnia, Serbia, Macedonia, Montenegro, Turkey and the former Soviet republics. With 4.2 victims per 1 000 inhabitants this region has surpassed Africa, which has 4 victims per 1 000 inhabitants. Best is the situation in the region of the developed economies and of the European Union, where there is “only” 1.5 victim per 1 000 inhabitants. The authors believe that the low rate is due to the well-established control mechanisms. I do dispute however the praised performance of this region and here I will deal more in detail with the figures related to it.

First of all, this is a region in which with exception of the USA slavery has been unknown for centuries.

Second, this is the region with the biggest growth of the slavery. In 2005 the number of the slaves was 553 000, while in 2012 it was already 1.5 millions, which makes up an increase of 171% for only 7 years! I claim that the actual increase is much higher, because as evident from this blog we have in this region really the best control mechanisms, unfortunately not for the slavery but for the slaves and there is no way for the victims from the centralized organizations like the Hungarian one to generate “reported cases”. Developed countries seem to mean well developed, organized and covered slavery.

Now I would like to go over to an important issue – the nationality of the victims in the region.

From this blog we have learned that the German authorities, while actively participating in the slavery of the East European women, pursue the enslavement of German women. This is confirmed by the official statistics (of BKA!) according to which half of the few saved victims are German women. This is not because many Germans are victims of forced prostitution but because the authorities barely pursue the forced prostitution among foreign women. The same is true about the women from the other developed economies.

On the other hand, the number of foreign women from non-EU countries has dropped significantly since the East European countries have become members of the EU. Facing an abundance of women, obviously well exceeding the market demand, the authorities gave preference to the women they can better control and exploit. The authorities use the push of the redundant women as propaganda of their efforts against sex slavery – like the case with the women from Nigeria is. Today with the exception of the foreign women who are permanent residents of Germany almost all visiting prostitutes and hence sex slaves are from Eastern Europe.   

Due to the developed stage of the economies in the region the use of slave labor for economic purposes is insignificant. The need for slave labor for US agriculture is satisfied from South America. From the 553 000 slaves in the region in 2005 only 94 000 were exploited for economic purposes.

Now I will try to estimate the number of the slavery victims from the new EU members. Due to lack of information and in the awareness, that it is not true, I assume that the percentage of the victims in all countries of the region is the same - 1.5 victims per 1 000 inhabitants. The population of the new EU members – also of the countries of origination of the slavery is 97.7 millions. This gives a number of the victims inside their own countries of 146 600.

The population of the old EU members, which are countries of destination or to put it bluntly, the big slave markets, is some 403.4 millions. For these countries I assume the percentage of the East European slaves to be 90%, which makes up 1.35 victims per 1 000 inhabitants or 544 600.  We get a number of the slaves from the new EU members within the EU of 691 200! The EU is the biggest sex slave market in the world today. If its members had the same co-operation within the other areas like in the human trade the EU would be flourishing today, seriously.

In North America we have a population of 311.5 million in the USA and 34.1 million in Canada. For these countries I assume the percentage of the victims from the new EU members to be only 20% - 0.3 victims per 1 000 inhabitants which gives 103 680 additional East European victims in these countries.

For Australia (22.3 millions) I assign a percentage of only 10% - 0.15 victims per 1000 inhabitants or 3350 victims.

For Israel (7.6 millions) I assign 50%, which makes 5720 victims.

I give 90% to Switzerland (7.8 millions) and Norway (4.7 million) to get a number of the victims there of 16 875.

My calculations give an overall number of the slaves from the new EU members exploited in the region of the developed economies and the EU of 833 575.  I do not count the slaves from these countries in other regions like the Middle East. I know that there are Bulgarian sex slaves in Jamaica, I am sure that there are not only Bulgarian slaves there and that there are slaves from our countries in all resort destinations, controlled by the Americans but since I have no figures, I discount them totally. I do not count the victims – both for sexual exploitation and for their organs, in Kosovo.   

833 575 out of a total population of 97.7 million makes up more than 8.5 victims per 1 000 inhabitants. In reality these are 10 victims per 1 000 inhabitants or one victim per 100 inhabitants! If we account for the aging structure of the population in the new EU members, we will get not more than 10 – 15 women in their fertile age out of these 100 inhabitants and at least 90% of our victims are young women. This means roughly that even based on conservative statistics one out of 10 young women from the new EU member states is a slavery victim! This means, however, a quiet genocide for the population of the new EU members. And whoever doubts the figures here should look at the latest US report on human trade, where the total number of the slaves in the world is much higher - 27 millions. The main source of the information – CIA, knows best of all about human trade.

Clear sign for the ongoing genocide is the fact that while the old EU member states consider how to circumvent the EU rules to stem the migration from the new member states, the EU and the slavery state Germany actively pursue the non-visa regime with Russia – as result of the genocide the new members are already short of young female slaves and the human traders are actively looking for new sources of slaves.

The ILO statistics enables to discover the true ugly nature of the processes going on in Eastern Europe disguised as “democratization”, “transit to market economy”, “European unification” and “freedom of movement”. The “transit to market economy” turned into robbery and poverty, the “European unification” – to neocolonialism, the “democratization” and “freedom of movement” – to human trade and actual slavery.